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CSR Predictor

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CSR Predictor

Post by tryasta on Tue Aug 29, 2017 7:18 pm

Hello all,

I have finally taken the step to publish it. This is a CSR predictor util. I have developed it with the sights on predicting the CSR of a player who is about to promote from the YA.

You can download it from here.

How it works?

1.- download the file
2.- edit the file
3.- enter the skill values to get the estimated CSR and CSR ranges (min and max)

Don't forget to comment here for improvements, remarks or whatever.

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Re: CSR Predictor

Post by tryasta on Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:45 pm

Some data for players in the Youth Academy:

Iestin John
Jonathon Haase
Nathaniel "Spirit Of Man" Ferand
Don Gaunt

Week 11:
Iestin John: TSP=103, CSR=73000 ( 12,12,11,High,High,13,10,Medium,9,4 )
Jonathon Haase: TSP=100, CSR=73500 ( 10,11,13,14,11,8,3,13,9,8 )
Nathaniel Ferrand: TSP=97, CSR=65800 ( 12,?,13,13,8,9,6,13,8,5 )
Don Gaunt: TSP=98, CSR=69600 ( 11,11,12,13,High,12,6,12,Medium,2 )
(estimated CSRs based on the CSR Predictor)

Week 12:
Iestin John: TSP=104, CSR=76554 ( 12,13,11,High,High,13,10,Medium,9,4 )
Jonathon Haase: TSP=101, CSR=76290 ( 10,11,13,14,12,8,3,13,9,8 )
Nathaniel Ferrand: TSP=97, CSR=65800 ( 12,?,13,13,8,9,6,13,8,5 )
Don Gaunt: TSP=99, CSR=72300 ( 11,12,12,13,High,12,6,12,Medium,2 )
(estimated CSRs based on the CSR Predictor)

Week 13:
Iestin John: TSP=105, CSR=80014(13,13,11,12,High,13,10,Medium,9,4 )
Jonathon Haase: TSP=102, CSR=78464( 11,11,13,14,12,8,3,13,9,8 )
Nathaniel Ferrand: TSP=97, CSR=65800 ( 12,?,13,13,8,9,6,13,8,5 )
Don Gaunt: TSP=99, CSR=72300 ( 11,12,12,13,High,12,6,12,Medium,2 )
(estimated CSRs based on the CSR Predictor)

Week 15:
Iestin John: TSP=109, CSR=88054(13,13,11,12,13,13,10,10,10,4 )
Jonathon Haase: TSP=103, CSR=80132( 11,11,13,14,12,8,3,13,10,8 )
Nathaniel Ferrand: TSP=99, CSR=70458 ( 12,?,13,13,9,9,6,13,9,5 )
Don Gaunt: TSP=100, CSR=75112 ( 12,12,12,13,High,12,6,12,8,2 )
(estimated CSRs based on the CSR Predictor)



average increase TSP = 0.81 / week (theoretical = 0.80 / week)
average estimated increase CSR = 1991 / week


Last edited by tryasta on Thu Sep 28, 2017 11:16 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: CSR Predictor

Post by ivelostmysparky on Thu Sep 21, 2017 10:20 pm

Seems to work. It predicted 117k CSR and he was 116k Smile
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Re: CSR Predictor

Post by tryasta on Thu Sep 21, 2017 10:24 pm

Thanks for the test!!!!

Actually, I would rather expect an accuracy around +/-5K CSR but I'll take the 1000 CSR difference gladly Smile

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Re: CSR Predictor

Post by ivelostmysparky on Thu Oct 12, 2017 11:38 pm

Predicted: 91k
Actual: 90k
On the money again Very Happy
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Re: CSR Predictor

Post by tryasta on Sun Oct 15, 2017 6:41 pm

I created a new formula, a better one, I believe.

I blogged about it here

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Re: CSR Predictor

Post by ivelostmysparky on Mon Oct 23, 2017 7:42 pm

I like the old one still.
Predicted: 86k
Actual: 83k
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Re: CSR Predictor

Post by tryasta on Mon Oct 23, 2017 10:44 pm

Well, in any case, the predictions seem to be not too far off the mark Smile

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